Where Will Fernando Tatis Jr., Padres Go Next After Nightmare 2021 Season?

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After their typically gleeful 2020 season ended with them snapping a 13- year postseason dry spell, the San Diego Padres most likely didn’t visualize any circumstance in which 2021 degenerated into a dismal slog stressed by their 2 finest gamers getting in each other’s faces.

Life, as they state, comes at you quick.

Because they’re simply 10-24 because Aug. 11 and 4 video games behind the St. Louis Cardinals in the National League wild-card race, the nadir of San Diego’s 2021 season is probably more of a continuous thing than a particular minute.

But as a prospect for the latter, it’s tough to do much better than when Manny Machado lost his cool with a vulgarity-laden tirade at Fernando Tatis Jr. on Saturday:

B/R Walk-Off @BRWalkoff

Tensions were running high in between Tatis and Machado

( by means of @joe_yancey3) pic.twitter.com/ibQvn12 wZ7

Micro-wise, Machado was distressed at Tatis for how he responded to what he viewed as a bad strike-three contact the 5th inning. As Padres supervisor Jayce Tingler, who was ejected for a league-leading seventh time in defense of Tatis, informed press reporters: “It’s not seen adversely. We’re a household. We’re not going to go over the information, however we care.”

Macro-wise, nevertheless, reporting from Ken Rosenthal, Dennis Lin and Brittany Ghiroli of The Athletic and Kevin Acee of the San Diego Union-Tribune paint an image of a long-bubbling soup of aggravation that lastly boiled over.

The Players Made This Happen

Though they were ultimately dispatched by the Los Angeles Dodgers in the National League Division Series, the ’20 Padres revealed their arrival as an up-and-coming superteam with a 37-23 romp through the reduced season. Came trades for aces Yu Darvish, Blake Snell and Joe Musgrove throughout the winter season, and a 34-19 begin to the 2021 project.

During this period, the Padres were hailed as all sorts of things. The most enjoyable group in baseball? Inspect. The finest group in baseball? Check. The heros of baseball? Yup, that too.

Tatis was deservedly the face of all this. His MVP-caliber play and utter neglect for baseball’s customs in 2019 and 2020 netted him a computer game cover and a $340 million agreement He then started 2021 by making great on the buzz by rapidly getting the NL leads for both crowning achievement and taken bases.

A $300 million guy in his own right, Machado had really edged Tatis in the NL MVP electing2020 Eric Hosmer and Wil Myers likewise got in 2021 as name-brand stars. Darvish, Snell and Musgrove, on the other hand, would have integrated for a 2.82 ERA and 11.5 strikeouts per 9 innings if they had actually been colleagues in 2020.

Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images

With this much skill at their disposal, it was no terrific surprise when the Padres started the ’21 season along with they did. And the sky actually did appear to be their limitation. According to FanGraphs, San Diego’s chances of making the playoffs in any capability were almost 100 percent. Of winning the NL West, about 50 percent Of winning the NL pennant, near 25 percent

That was then. This is now, where the Padres are 42-54 because their peak on May29 Those exact same chances are down to 3.6, 0.0 and 0.4 percent, respectively.

Because the Padres have actually lost more cumulative days to the hurt list than any other group, those who would blame their death on the injury bug have a gripe.

They have, nevertheless, nevertheless gotten at least 27 starts of each of their 3 headlining aces, yet just Musgrove has an ERA even under 4.00 Darvish (4.13) and Snell (4.20) have actually merely underperformed. There’s likewise been little to no aid from the back end of the rotation, where Chris Paddack and Ryan Weathers each have ERAs north of 5.00

Further, the Padres are among just 4 groups that’s gotten as lots of as 450 plate looks out of 7 various gamers. The clearest description for the group’s second-rate 97 wRC , for that reason, is that insufficient people have actually pulled their weight.

As their combined OPS is 166 points lower than it remained in 2020, Hosmer and Myers are the worst transgressors. More just recently, Machado and All-Star newbie Adam Frazier have actually been cold because the trade due date A lot more just recently, Tatis has actually fallen under a depression of his own.

That might not be the only factor that Tatis has actually been, as Acee put it, “brooding” of late. He has actually put a lot on the line this year, not just playing through a remaining shoulder injury however likewise consenting to move from shortstop to the outfield in August. With both San Diego’s playoffs chances and his own MVP possibilities decreasing, it’s looking like it’ll all be for naught.

Of course, this is not to recommend that Machado remained in the incorrect when he challenged Tatis. Till the season is over, the Padres do certainly require Tatis to “play f– ing baseball.”

If this was April, the Padres might expect Tatis and Machado to apologize and do their part to lead the group to the playoffs. With the October ship having actually quite much cruised, the Padres may count themselves fortunate if any more feuding merely occurs out of sight.

The Manager and GM Also Made This Happen

It’s never ever an excellent search for a supervisor when his group had less wins than its run differential recommends it should. Per their 79-70 mark, Tingler’s Padres would remain in ownership of the NL’s 2nd wild card area today if all groups in fact had their Pythagorean records

But while this makes Tingler look bad enough from the outdoors, it’s obviously even worse on the within. Acee’s reporting is especially damning, as he composed that the impression he’s obtained from Padres gamers is that the second-year skipper is “not the leader they required or desired has actually been growing in some corners of the clubhouse for a while.”

Making matters even worse for Tingler is that he’s currently attempted utilizing a human guard, as he firmly insisted that the club’s shooting of pitching coach Larry Rothschild in August was his call:

Dennis Lin @dennistlin

Jayce Tingler, on the termination of Larry Rothschild: “This was 100 percent my choice.” Tingler pointing out absence of consistency, desiring a brand-new voice for the last weeks of the season.

Heck of a great deal of excellent that’s done the Padres. Prior to shooting Rothschild, the Padres had 3.78 ERA Considering that shooting him, the group’s ERA is 4.90

Unless, obviously, you register for the concept forwarded by previous Miami Marlins executive-turned-CBS Sports podcaster David Samson: Canning Rothschild was in fact basic supervisor A.J. Preller’s call.

If so, that would just be Preller’s second-biggest failure of the 2021 season.

Atop that list would be his disaster of a trade due date. He went hard after Max Scherzer, Preller eventually just got Frazier, reducer Daniel Hudson and reserve outfielder Jake Marisnick while the Dodgers (Max Scherzer and Trea Turner) and the division-leading San Francisco Giants (Kris Bryant) each scored correct stars.

All informed, the people driving the bus for the Padres this year have not precisely been consistent at the wheel. It might have constantly referred time prior to the group’s season went off the roadway.

So, What Happens Next?

Has Preller had the sort of season that would get any other front workplace chief fired? Possibly. The Padres simply extended him through 2026, so the chances of him getting the axe are slim.

It’s likewise beyond not likely that the Tatis-Machado duo will be separated. You do not eliminate 2 gamers like that on function. Specifically not while their one and just public spat was a disappointment thing and not a bad-blood thing. And specifically not while both gamers are signed to mega-deals that last well beyond 2021.

And yet there is little doubt at this moment that the Padres require to make huge modifications, beginning with the supervisor’s chair.

This is to state that the last couple of days have actually turned Tingler from a possibly appropriate omission from our supervisor hot spot list to a glaring one. It’s likewise not as if there’s some fantastic secret regarding why he could not acquire much better control of this clubhouse. He’s just 40 years of ages, and he neither played nor handled in Major League Baseball prior to the Padres employed him for the latter task in2019 It was constantly a danger, and it has actually backfired.

If the Padres do offer Tingler the boot, his perfect replacement would be someone with real experience and bonafides. Need To the Houston Astros cut him loose, Dusty Baker would be best. Dollar Showalter, who previously handled Machado in Baltimore, is another possibility.

Mind you, employing a brand-new supervisor figures to be the simple part.

Free company will declare just 5 mainly insignificant gamers from the Padres this winter season, for this reason why they currently have more cash ($1624 million) devoted to 2022 than any other group. Unless Preller gets a blank check from ownership, some big wages might have to go prior to he can ideal what’s presently a gifted, yet flawed lineup.

The apparent prospects to go are Hosmer, who’s owed $60 million through 2025, and Myers, who’s ensured $235 million through2022 To get their cash off the group’s books, Preller would likely need to connect treasured skills from the club’s farm system so regarding enable the other group to successfully purchase potential customers.

Should Preller be successful there, he may have the capital to circle back on Scherzer in hopes of signing the three-time Cy Young Award winner as a totally free representative. He may even participate this winter season’s excellent class of shortstops, with the concept being to either keep Tatis in the outfield full-time or move the brand-new signee to 2nd base.

For now, the intense side is that the basic principle of the Padres as an ultra-talented and fun-loving group does not require re-designing. What’s required is more of an exact plan, the similarity which should not be unattainable in the weeks and months to come.

Stats thanks to Baseball Reference and FanGraphs

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